Fantasy Football Rankings 2022: Busts of the analytical model who labeled Julio Jones’ disappointing year

Panthers running back Christian McCaffrey has played just 10 games since 2020, but he’s been one of the most consistent running backs on the field. In fact, McCaffrey has averaged at least 24.1 PPR points per game in three of his last four seasons and has at least 112.1 scrimmage yards per game since 2018. However, McCaffrey has been one of the most Fantasy football busts big in the past two seasons due to injuries. According to the latest Fantasy Football 2022 ADP, Carolina’s running back flies off the board at the start of the first round. Should your 2022 fantasy football draft strategy include a chance on McCaffrey, who had over 1,000 rushing and receiving yards in 2019? Should you look elsewhere in the 2022 Fantasy Football Rankings for running back value? As you begin your preparation for the 2022 Fantasy Football Draft, be sure to check out SportsLine’s tried-and-true 2022 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheets.

Last year, SportsLine’s model accurately predicted that Titans wide receiver Julio Jones was significantly overvalued. He was drafted in the fifth round on average, but SportsLine predicted he wasn’t even close to being a top-20 wide receiver. Jones ended up pulling off an incredibly disappointing stat line, catching 31 passes for 434 yards and a touchdown.

The same model has a proven track record in providing fantasy football advice, also identifying AJ Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and JuJu Smith-Schuster as a fantasy football bust last season. He also nailed Jonathan Taylor’s big season and was all over Jaylen Waddle to outplay his fantasy football ADP. Plus, he calls out former fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anyone who bet on players like these ran their league title .

The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major fantasy sites, and it beat the human experts last season when there was a big difference in rankings. Projections are updated several times a day, so you always get the best fantasy football tips.

Now SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest 2022 fantasy football rankings, along with numerous sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head over to SportsLine now to see them.

Top 2022 Fantasy Football Busts

One of the 2022 fantasy football busts the model predicts: Chiefs running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire, who is currently drafted in the seventh round on average. Edwards-Helaire has struggled to stay healthy so far in his career, missing 10 games over the past two seasons.

The 2020 first-round pick will also have to compete for races with a packed Kansas City backfield that includes Ronald Jones and potentially Jerick McKinnon. Edwards-Helaire has never scored more than four rushing touchdowns in a single NFL season, but Fantasy owners still select him in the seventh round. However, SportsLine’s model ranks Edwards-Helaire behind other running backs like Tony Pollard (ninth-round ADP), Devin Singletary (eighth) and Miles Sanders (eighth).

Another bust that SportsLine’s 2022 Fantasy Football Rankings has identified: Packers running back AJ Dillon. The Boston College product was drafted in the second round of the 2020 NFL Draft but played a menial role during his rookie season, carrying the ball 46 times and receiving just two targets.

Dillon has earned a bigger role in 2021, rushing for 221 touches and producing for 1,116 yards and seven touchdowns. However, Aaron Jones is still the most productive back on a per touch basis and his contract makes it unlikely that Dillon will overtake him as the best back in Green Bay. Dillon was the 23rd drafted guard on average, but the model barely ranks him in his top 30 options at RB this year. Find out here which other Fantasy football 2022 busts to avoid.

How to find the proven 2022 fantasy football rankings

SportsLine is also extremely weak on a running back coming off the board in the third or fourth round on average on 2022 fantasy football drafts. The model ranks him outside of its top 24 running backs for 2022 and expects that that he is experiencing a major regression after a breakout season in 2021. You can only see who it is and the 2022 Fantasy Football Rankings for each player, on SportsLine.

So which Fantasy Football 2022 breakouts should you aim for? And which RB won’t live up to expectations in 2022? Visit SportsLine now for Fantasy Football 2022 cheat sheets for every position, all from the model who told you to avoid Julio Jones in 2021, and find out.